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国家重点基础研究发展计划(2010CB428403)

作品数:22 被引量:264H指数:7
相关作者:夏军占车生宋晓猛谢正辉孔凡哲更多>>
相关机构:中国科学院中国科学院大气物理研究所中国矿业大学更多>>
发文基金:国家重点基础研究发展计划国家自然科学基金国家高技术研究发展计划更多>>
相关领域:天文地球水利工程理学自动化与计算机技术更多>>

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22 条 记 录,以下是 1-10
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河湖水系连通特征及其利弊被引量:126
2012年
随着水资源以及水环境健康的恶化,河湖水系连通性作为河流健康以及提高水资源利用的一个重要指标在国家"十二五"战略规划中被着重提出。目前,中国对河湖水系连通特征及其对河流健康的影响缺乏足够的认识,本文主要对河湖水系连通的定义、分类、评判指标、影响因素及其对水环境健康的影响进行了一一阐述。分析表明:维持水系连通可以明显地改善湿地生态环境,维持湿地生态环境及生物多样性,保障防洪安全和水资源可持续利用。同时,河湖连通也会带来对生态环境的负面影响,主要包括:①原本水质好的河流和水质相对较差河流连通后降低原来河流的水质;②加剧连通河流中物种及鱼类等生命体的竞争;③水量充沛的河流支援水量不足的湖泊,将减少该河流的有效可利用水量;④导致水面蒸发量减少影响地表及陆地的水循环,影响地区的气候变化;⑤上游地区与下游地区河湖连通将导致下游地区河湖泥沙及淤积量急剧增加。
夏军高扬左其亭刘晓洁陈庆美窦明
关键词:河流健康水环境生态效应
GRACE terrestrial water storage data assimilation based on the ensemble four-dimensional variational method PODEn4DVar:Method and validation被引量:3
2015年
Seasonal and interannual changes in the Earth's gravity field are mainly due to mass exchange among the atmosphere,ocean,and continental water sources.The terrestrial water storage changes,detected as gravity changes by the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment(GRACE) satellites,are mainly caused by precipitation,evapotranspiration,river transportation and downward infiltration processes.In this study,a land data assimilation system LDAS-G was developed to assimilate the GRACE terrestrial water storage(TWS) data into the Community Land Model(CLM3.5) using the POD-based ensemble four-dimensional variational assimilation method PODEn4 DVar,disaggregating the GRACE large-scale terrestrial water storage changes vertically and in time,and placing constraints on the simulation of vertical hydrological variables to improve land surface hydrological simulations.The ideal experiments conducted at a single point and assimilation experiments carried out over China by the LDAS-G data assimilation system showed that the system developed in this study improved the simulation of land surface hydrological variables,indicating the potential of GRACE data assimilation in large-scale land surface hydrological research and applications.
SUN QinXIE ZhengHuiTIAN XiangJun
抛物型方程基于POD方法的时间二阶精度CN有限元降维格式被引量:12
2011年
将特征正交分解(proper orthogonal decomposition,简记为POD)方法应用于抛物型方程通常的时间二阶精度Crank-Nicolson(简记为CN)有限元格式,简化其为一个自由度极少的时间二阶精度CN有限元降维格式,并给出简化的时间二阶精度CN有限元解的误差分析.数值例子表明在简化的时间二阶精度CN有限元解和通常的时间二阶精度CN有限元解之间的误差足够小的情况下,简化的时间二阶精度CN有限元格式能大大地节省自由度,而且时间步长可以比时间一阶精度的格式取大10倍,以至能更快计算到所要时刻数值解,减少计算机计算过程的截断误差,提高计算速度和计算精度,从而验证降维时间二阶精度CN有限元格式用于解类似于抛物型方程的时间依赖方程是很有效的.
罗振东陈静谢正辉安静孙萍
关键词:误差分析抛物型方程
水文模型参数敏感性快速定量评估的RSMSobol方法被引量:20
2011年
水文模型参数敏感性分析是模型不确定性量化研究的重要环节,其可以有效识别关键参数,减少模型率定的不确定性,提高模型优化效率。然而如何快速有效地定量评估参数敏感性已成为当前大尺度分布式水文模型优化的瓶颈。针对传统的全局定量敏感性分析方法在多参数复杂水文模型的不足,本文采用基于统计学习理论的支持向量机(SVM)建立非参数响应曲面(称为代理模型),再结合基于方差的Sobol方法,建立了基于响应曲面方法的Sobol定量全局敏感性分析方法(RSMSobol方法),实现复杂模型系统参数敏感性的快速定量化评估。本文选用淮河流域的日尺度分布式时变增益水文模型进行实例研究,采用水量平衡系数(WB),Nash-Sutcliffe效率系数(NS)和相关系数(RC)三个目标函数综合评价模拟效果。研究结果显示RSMSobol方法在实现定量全局敏感性分析的同时降低了模型运行时耗,提高了模型评估效率,且与传统定量方法Sobol方法具有同样的评估效果。该方法的有效应用为大型复杂水文动力模拟系统的参数定量化敏感性评价提供了参考,为模型参数进一步优化提供了可靠依据。
孔凡哲宋晓猛占车生叶爱中
关键词:代理模型支持向量机淮河流域
A soil water and heat transfer model including changes in soil frost and thaw fronts被引量:5
2014年
Freeze-thaw processes in soils,including changes in frost and thaw fronts(FTFs),are important physical processes.The movement of FTFs affects soil hydrothermal characteristics,as well as energy and water exchanges between the land surface and the atmosphere and hydrothermal processes in the land surface.This paper reduces the issue of soil freezing and thawing to a multiple moving-boundary problem and develops a soil water and heat transfer model which considers the effects of FTF on soil hydrothermal processes.A local adaptive variable-grid method is used to discretize the model.Sensitivity tests based on the hierarchical structure of the Community Land Model(CLM)show that multiple FTFs can be continuously tracked,which overcomes the difficulties of isotherms that cannot simultaneously simulate multiple FTFs in the same soil layer.The local adaptive variable-grid method is stable and offers computational efficiency several times greater than the high-resolution case.The simulated FTF depths,soil temperatures,and soil moisture values fit well with the observed data,which further demonstrates the potential application of this simulation to the land-surface process model.
WANG AiWenXIE ZhengHuiFENG XiaoBingTIAN XiangJunQIN PeiHua
集成统计仿真技术和SCE-UA方法的水文模型参数优化被引量:5
2012年
水文模型参数优化是模型应用和发展过程中的一个的重要环节,然而如何快速有效地估计模型参数成为当前分布式水文模型发展的一个瓶颈.针对传统方法在多参数复杂水文模型的应用不足,提出一种集成统计仿真技术和SCE-UA方法的优化方案,即采用非参数的多元自适应回归样条建立复杂水文模型的代理仿真模型进行初始优化,缩小参数优选范围,再结合全局优化算法SCE-UA方法进行参数全局优化,从而提高模型优化效率.选用淮河流域的日尺度分布式时变增益水文模型进行实例研究,采用水量平衡系数(WB)和Nash-Sutcliffe效率系数(NS)两个目标函数综合评价模拟效果.通过模型检验结果表明该方法可以实现参数的高效优化分析,且具有很好的稳健性和适应性,说明方法是有效的.
宋晓猛占车生夏军
关键词:参数优化淮河流域
A REDUCED FE FORMULATION BASED ON POD METHOD FOR HYPERBOLIC EQUATIONS被引量:2
2012年
A proper orthogonal decomposition(POD) method was successfully used in the reduced-order modeling of complex systems.In this paper,we extend the applications of POD method,namely,apply POD method to a classical finite element(FE) formulation for second-order hyperbolic equations with real practical applied background,establish a reduced FE formulation with lower dimensions and high enough accuracy,and provide the error estimates between the reduced FE solutions and the classical FE solutions and the implementation of algorithm for solving reduced FE formulation so as to provide scientific theoretic basis for service applications.Some numerical examples illustrate the fact that the results of numerical computation are consistent with theoretical conclusions.Moreover,it is shown that the reduced FE formulation based on POD method is feasible and efficient for solving FE formulation for second-order hyperbolic equations.
罗振东欧秋兰吴加荣谢正辉
基于微波亮温及集合Kalman滤波的土壤湿度同化方案被引量:14
2010年
基于集合Kalman滤波及SCE-UA(shuffled complex evolution)算法发展了能够直接同化微波亮温的土壤湿度同化方案.该方案以陆面过程模式CLM3.0中的土壤水模型作为预报算子,以辐射传输模型作为观测算子.整个同化过程分为参数优化和土壤湿度同化两个阶段,利用SCE-UA算法优化辐射传输模型中难以确定的植被光学厚度参数和地表粗糙度参数,并利用优化参数作为观测算子的模型参数进行同化.通过人工理想试验表明该同化方案可以明显改善表层土壤湿度的模拟精度,并且对深层土壤湿度的模拟也有一定程度的改善;利用AMSR-E亮温(10.65GHz垂直极化)所进行的实际同化试验表明顶层(0~10cm)土壤湿度同化结果与观测的均方根误差(RMSE)由模拟的0.05052减小到0.03355,相对减小了33.6%,而较深层(10~50cm)平均减小了20.9%.这些同化试验显示该同化方案的合理性.
贾炳浩谢正辉田向军师春香
关键词:土壤湿度集合KALMAN滤波辐射传输模型
Incorporating Groundwater Dynamics and Surface/Subsurface Runoff Mechanisms in Regional Climate Modeling over River Basins in China被引量:1
2013年
To improve the capability of numerical modeling of climate-groundwater interactions, a groundwater component and new surface/subsurface runoff schemes were incorporated into the regional climate model RegCM3, renamed RegCM3_Hydro. 20-year simulations from both models were used to investigate the effects of groundwater dynamics and surface/subsurface runoff parameterizations on regional climate over seven river basins in China. A comparison of results shows that RegCM3_Hydro reduced the positive biases of annual and summer (June, July, August) precipitation over six river basins, while it slightly increased the bias over the Huaihe River Basin in eastern China. RegCM3_Hydro also reduced the cold bias of surface air temperature from RegCM3 across years, especially for the Haihe and the Huaihe river basins, with significant bias reductions of 0.80~C and 0.88~C, respectively. The spatial distribution and seasonal variations of water table depth were also well captured. With the new surface and subsurface runoff schemes, RegCM3_Hydro increased annual surface runoff by 0.11 0.62 mm d 1 over the seven basins. Though previous studies found that incorporating a groundwater component tends to increase soil moisture due to the consideration of upward groundwater recharge, our present work shows that the modified runoff schemes cause less infiltration, which outweigh the recharge from groundwater and result in drier soil, and consequently cause less latent heat and more sensible heat over most of the basins.
秦佩华谢正辉袁星
关键词:GROUNDWATERRUNOFF
A new approach for Bayesian model averaging被引量:2
2012年
Bayesian model averaging(BMA) is a recently proposed statistical method for calibrating forecast ensembles from numerical weather models.However,successful implementation of BMA requires accurate estimates of the weights and variances of the individual competing models in the ensemble.Two methods,namely the Expectation-Maximization(EM) and the Markov Chain Monte Carlo(MCMC) algorithms,are widely used for BMA model training.Both methods have their own respective strengths and weaknesses.In this paper,we first modify the BMA log-likelihood function with the aim of removing the addi-tional limitation that requires that the BMA weights add to one,and then use a limited memory quasi-Newtonian algorithm for solving the nonlinear optimization problem,thereby formulating a new approach for BMA(referred to as BMA-BFGS).Several groups of multi-model soil moisture simulation experiments from three land surface models show that the performance of BMA-BFGS is similar to the MCMC method in terms of simulation accuracy,and that both are superior to the EM algo-rithm.On the other hand,the computational cost of the BMA-BFGS algorithm is substantially less than for MCMC and is al-most equivalent to that for EM.
TIAN XiangJunXIE ZhengHuiWANG AiHuiYANG XiaoChun
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