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国家自然科学基金(U0933603)

作品数:22 被引量:138H指数:7
相关作者:曹杰杨若文王海陶云宋媛更多>>
相关机构:云南大学云南省气象局云南省气候中心更多>>
发文基金:国家自然科学基金云南省自然科学基金云南省应用基础研究基金更多>>
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22 条 记 录,以下是 1-10
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Wavelet analysis of the convectively-coupled equatorial waves被引量:1
2012年
The spatial and temporal distribution characteristics of the main convectively-coupled equatorial waves were analyzed with the OLR data provided by NOAA and the method of wavelet analysis.The results indicate that the wavelet analysis can effectively distinguish MJO,Kelvin,ER,TD,and EMRG wave and the characteristics of their activities in 1992.The propagation speeds of MJO and ER wave are the slowest,following by Kelvin and TD wave and with MRG the fastest.The MJO from the Indian Ocean to the West Pacific Ocean,the Kelvin wave near the International Date Line,the ER and the TD wave around the West Pacific Ocean and the MRG in the eastern of the International Date Line have the biggest wave amplitude.The MJO in boreal winter and spring,the Kelvin wave in boreal spring and summer,the ER wave in boreal autumn,and the TD wave in boreal summer are active.The WMRG wave activates in boreal autumn,whereas EMRG wave appears year-round.These spatial and temporal characteristics agree well with the results of relevant theoretical studies,indicating that the wavelet analysis in the time-frequency domain is another effective method to reveal the evolution of convectively-coupled equatorial waves.
CAO JieWEN ZhiPingCHANG YouLiLI XiangRui
热带大气对流耦合波动的小波分析被引量:3
2012年
利用NOAA逐日向外长波辐射(OLR)资料和小波分析方法对热带大气中主要对流耦合波动的时空分布特征进行了研究.结果表明,小波分析能有效地辨析出1992年热带大气对流耦合MJO、Kelvin波、ER波、TD波、WMRG波和EMRG波及其活动特征.其中,MJO和ER波的传播速度最慢,Kelvin波和TD波次之,MRG波最快;印度洋至西太平洋的MJO和TD波、日界线附近的Kelvin波、西太平洋附近的ER波、日界线附近以东的MRG波振幅最大;在北半球冬春季的MJO、春夏季的Kelvin波、秋季的ER波、夏季的TD波活跃;WMRG波在北半球秋季比较活跃;EMRG波则全年均会出现.这些时空分布特征很好地与有关理论研究结果相吻合,时频域中的小波分析是另一种揭示热带对流耦合波动演变规律的有效方法.
曹杰温之平常有礼李湘瑞
关键词:热带大气小波分析
Large-scale Circulation Anomalies Associated with Interannual Variation in Monthly Rainfall over South China from May to August被引量:11
2014年
Interannual variation in summer rainfall over South China (SC) was investigated on the monthly timescale.It was found that monthly rainfall from May to August exhibits different features of variation,and the amounts are basically independent of each other.There is a significant negative correlation,however,between May and July SC rainfall,which is partially related to the developing phases of ENSO events.It was also found that stronger (weaker) lower-tropospheric winds over SC and the upstream parts are responsible for more (less) SC rainfall in every month from May to August.Despite this monthly consistent enhancement of horizontal winds,the wind anomalies exhibit distinct differences between May-June and July-August,due to the remarkable change in climatological winds between these two periods.More SC rainfall is associated with a lower-tropospheric anticyclonic anomaly over the SCS and the Philippine Sea in May and June,but with a cyclonic anomaly centered over SC in July and August.
SU QinLU RiyuLI Chaofan
关键词:RAINFALL
North Indian Ocean tropical cyclone activities influenced by the Indian Ocean Dipole mode
Using Joint Typhoon Warning Center tropical cyclone(TC) track data over the North Indian Ocean(NIO), National ...
YUAN JunPengCAO Jie
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印度洋暖池热含量变化对低纬高原汛期降水的影响被引量:6
2013年
利用美国Scripps海洋研究所提供的1961—2003年的海洋热含量再分析资料、低纬高原148站降水资料和NCEP/NCAR环流再分资料,采用EOF分析、相关分析、合成分析等方法研究了印度洋暖池热含量变化,及其对低纬高原6—8月降水的影响及其可能原因.结果表明,印度洋暖池6—8月热含量变化E0F分析第1模态为全场一致型,解释方差为28%.印度洋暖池热含量与中国低纬高原6—8月降水的关系主要体现为与云南北部和东部等地区的显著正相关,这种相关关系源于前期2—4月,且随时间的推移其影响范围不断扩大,至同期时达到最好.在印度洋暖池热含量偏高年,暖池区持续的加热异常在东侧对流层低层激发出反气旋式环流异常,造成副高西伸,从而在副高外围形成一条自孟加拉湾向低纬高原区域的经向水汽输送带,为低纬高原区域输送大量的水汽,从而造成低纬高原区域降水增多.相反,在印度洋暖池热含量异常偏低时,西南风水汽输送带较弱,水汽输送无法穿越山脉输送到低纬高原区,造成低纬高原汛期降水偏少.
袁俊鹏李然王海宋媛曹杰邢冬
关键词:热含量低纬高原汛期降水
Cross wavelet analysis of the relationship between total solar irradiance and sunspot number被引量:3
2010年
Using the observational data of total solar irradiance(TSI)from 1976 to 2006,the evolution of total solar irradiance and the rela-tionship between TSI and sunspot number(SSN)have been analyzed with the wavelet technique.The results of the continuous wavelet transform(CWT)indicate that the TSI has multi-scale evolutionary characteristics.In the low frequency band,the TSI and SSN show similar variation with a significant and steady oscillation period from 8 to 11.4 a.While in the high frequency band,only around the maximum time of solar cycles,both the TSI and SSN present a significant intermittent oscillation period from 2 to 6 months.The results of the cross wavelet transform indicate that there is significant in-phase resonance oscillation between the TSI and SSN in 8-11.4 a band,where the variation of the SSN is 2 months ahead of that of TSI.Those results confirm the SSN as the primary cause for TSI's periodic variation in the time scale of 8-11.4 a.However for the 2-6 month band,significant resonance periodicity is observed only within the maximum time of solar cycle,but the phase relationship between the TSI and SSN is unsteady.Finally,a reliable TSI monthly series from 1878 to 1975 is reconstructed and tested.
YANG RuoWenCAO JieHUANG WeiNIAN AiBing
关键词:太阳黑子数振荡周期社会安全连续小波变换太阳活动周期
近48年贵州暴雨日数及降水总量的变化特征研究被引量:14
2013年
利用贵州81个台站1963—2010年的逐日降水资料,采用一元线性回归、五年滑动平均、EOF分解、相关分析、Modet小波变换对贵州48年暴雨日数及降水量进行统计分析,并对二者不同的变化趋势作了对比分析.结果表明:①暴雨日数与年总降水量关系密切,暴雨日数与年降水总量在2—4年上震荡周期明显,二者在此时间尺度上具有很好的凝聚共振关系,降水总量的变化略落后于暴雨日数的变化;②暴雨日数及降水量在空间上均具有由南向北递减的特征,暴雨日数81个测站中有48个站的暴雨日数是增加的,而81个测站中有77个站的年降水总量降水趋势是减少的,二者在黔西南、遵义、毕节及黔南有较一致的减少趋势,而在其余地方二者为相反的变化趋势,且二者的前三模态空间分布上具有较一致的变化特征;③暴雨日数及降水量均具有多尺度变化特征,在月季尺度上,暴雨及降水量主要出现在5—9月,且各月变化幅度较大;在年代际尺度上,近48年贵州暴雨日数呈现一定的增加趋势,但是未通过显著性检验,而降水总量呈明显的下降趋势,通过了0.05的显著性检验.
王芬杨若文唐浩鹏张娇艳崔庭杨祖祥
关键词:暴雨日数降水总量
从湿季降水分异论哀牢山季风交汇被引量:7
2011年
选择哀牢山和无量山中南部区域,利用该区1961—2007年月降水资料,分析湿季及各月降水时空分异与区域地形及季风交汇的关联。结论如下:区域湿季降水与岭谷地形的空间分异有着很好的吻合。哀牢山东侧主脉两侧降水量分异明显,但两侧各站湿季及各月降水的年际变化趋势等多项特征具有一致性。该区东南部和西北部的湿季降水存在明显分异,中间地带具有过渡性;西北部和东南部站点间湿季各月月降水相关性呈规律性变化。2支季风在本区的交汇态势随季风发展而变化;西南季风爆发初期,2支季风交汇中心在无量山脉至哀牢山西侧支脉一带;2支季风强盛期,二者在全区交汇;东南季风退缩期,2支季风交汇中心移至哀牢山脉的南段区域。
胡金明何大明李运刚
关键词:时空分异
人类活动和降水变化对滑坡泥石流中长期演变的影响被引量:10
2012年
根据滑坡泥石流灾害资料、耕地面积和公路里程等反映人类活动的资料以及降水资料,在定义了低纬高原区滑坡泥石流指数、人类活动指数和降水指数的基础上,研究了人类活动和降水变化对低纬高原区滑坡泥石流中长期演变的影响规律。结果表明,滑坡泥石流发生频次的中长期演变呈现出每年增加0.9次的趋势,且其演变具有明显的阶段性,从少发期到多发期的突变点出现在1993年。在11~16年的尺度上,人类活动与滑坡泥石流之间存在密切的关系。人类活动指数与滑坡泥石流发生频次之间为极显著的同位相关系,且人类活动超前于滑坡泥石流发生为0.2~2.8年;人类活动所导致的地质环境恶化是使低纬高原区滑坡泥石流频次增加的主要原因;除去人类活动影响后,低纬高原区滑坡泥石流与主汛期降水关系密切;在准3年和准6年尺度上,低纬高原区滑坡泥石流与主汛期降水呈显著的同位相关系,且低纬高原区主汛期降水超前于滑坡泥石流发生为0~0.8年;主汛期降水是影响低纬高原区滑坡泥石流频次变化的另一原因。最后,建立了考虑人类活动和主汛期降水且具有良好模拟和预测能力的低纬高原区滑坡泥石流的中长期演变预测模型。
陶云唐川
关键词:滑坡泥石流夏季降水低纬高原
Spring Indian Ocean–Western Pacific SST Contrast and the East Asian Summer Rainfall Anomaly被引量:4
2013年
studying the relationship between SST in the tropical Indian Ocean (TIO), tropical western Pacific (TWP), and tropical eastern Pacific (TEP) and East Asian summer rainfall (EASR), using data provided by NOAA/OAR/ESRL PSD and the National Climate Center of China for the period 1979-2008, an index, SSTDI, was defined to describe the SST difference between the TIO and TWP. In comparison with the winter ENSO, the spring SST contrast between the TIO and TWP was found to be more significantly associated with summer rainfall in East Asia, especially along the EASR band and in Northeast China. This spring SST contrast can persist into summer, resulting in a more significant meridional teleconnection pattern of lower-tropospheric circulation anomalies over the western North Pacific and East Asia. These circulation anomalies are dynamically consistent with the summer rainfall anomaly along the EASR band. When the SSTDI is higher (lower) than normal, the EASR over the Yangtze River valley, Korea, and central and southern Japan is heavier (less) than normal. The present results suggest that this spring SST contrast can be used as a new and better predictor of EASR anomalies.
曹杰陆日宇胡金明王海
关键词:PREDICTOR
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